Archive for August 2011

Step by step through another fantasy auction

To read about my first auction, click here. If you’re wondering about my auction strategy, start there.

Here are the details: 12-team slow auction PPR w/$400 cap; 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, TE, K & DT

My second auction started two weeks ago and is just about complete. Using our revamped auction prices over at 4for4.com, I was confident that I was heading into my draft with a good idea of what each player was worth. We used 4for4′s Value Based Rankings to calculate dollar amounts per player, based on a customized percentage of total payroll (suggested: 90%) that will be used on the starting lineup. These prices were invaluable in helping me identify value as it emerged.

I began by going big on two studs — Adrian Peterson ($95) and Chris Johnson ($85). I was fairly optimistic about CJ2K when I bid on him, but now I’m regretting it a little. I thought the Titans’ position (that they would make Johnson the highest paid RB in the league) was enough, but I didn’t realize that he was looking for money beyond his position. While I do think something will get done before the season, I was concerned enough to nab Javon Ringer ($12) and Jamie Harper ($3) late in the draft. Gotta protect that investment.

I normally don’t bid too much on defenses or kickers, but I dropped $5 on the Packers DT early in the auction. Some of the elite defenses went for $6+ in my other auction, so I figured it was worth it so that I wouldn’t have to play Defensive Team By Waiver Wire in every league.

The next auction I won was Mario Manningham for $36, which was up from the $31 I spent on him in the first auction. In other words, his stock is rising. (In two recent expert drafts, he went in the 5th round, which means you can probably get him in the 6th in your friends and family league.) I was prepared to spend $40+ because I view him as a very solid WR2 in both standard and PPR formats.

Rob Gronkowski was nominated and I once again won him for $9. I simply think he’s undervalued and would be happy with him as my TE1. As it turns out, he’ll be my backup, but more on that later.

Santana Moss ($29) should make a fine WR3, though I am a bit concerned about John Beck at QB. Moss and Rex Grossman showed a nice rapport late last season and now he has to adjust to a new QB. At WR1, I went after Mike Williams, Stevie Johnson and Santonio Holmes, but they all went for $50+, which was more than I had budgeted. I settled for Austin Collie at $37. He’s risky, but when he’s playing, he’s WR1-caliber in PPR formats. To shore up the WR position, I won Mike Sims-Walker ($9), Terrell Owens ($1) and Steve Smith 2.0 ($1). I think MSW could have a nice year with Sam Bradford throwing to him in Josh McDaniels’ offense. I have no idea why Owens only went for $1 — he’s going to land somewhere and get WR1/WR2 targets and is still a top 20 WR talent-wise. I guess we’ll see.

By not extending myself at WR1, I was able to afford Dallas Clark for a discounted price of $28. His value at 4for4 was $42, so I felt I was better served putting my dollars towards an elite TE instead of overpaying for a low-end WR1. I could potentially start Gronkowski at the flex or possibly trade one of my TEs for help at another position if need be.

At RB, I got on the Tim Hightower train for $15 before he really cemented the RB1 job in Washington. I really like him as a RB3 in the 7th round of standard drafts. The only way I see him losing the job is if his fumbling problems resurface. I also nabbed Jonathan Stewart for $16. He’s a tough guy to value because he’s clearly a backup right now, but if DeAngelo Williams gets injured again, Stewart will have top 10 value.

At QB, I did what I normally do — look for value. And I found it in Matt Ryan, whom I locked up for $13 just before reports of Falcons’ desire to air it out hit the internet. People paying attention to the franchise this offseason could predict this shift in ideology, especially after the thrashing the team took at the hands of the Packers in the playoffs and their subsequent moves on draft night to acquire Julio Jones. I am high on the entire Atlanta offense this year, including WR3 Harry Douglas, who is drawing rave reviews at camp.

From there, I targeted Peterson’s backup, Toby Gerhart ($1), and the up-and-coming Colt McCoy ($2), whose schedule meshes nicely with Ryan’s. I also nominated Stephen Gostkowski and won him for $1 while the rest of the league was focused on other positions.

Here is my complete roster:

QB: Ryan, McCoy
RB: Peterson, CJ2K, Hightower, Stewart, Ringer, Harper, Gerhart
WR: Manningham, Collie, S. Moss, MSW, T.O., Smith 2.0
TE: Clark, Gronkowski
K: Gostkowski
DT: Packers

A new Q&A policy

It is not without some trepidation and remorse that I’m adopting a new Q&A policy for the remainder of the 2011 fantasy football season. As my workload is ramping up, I can only answer so many questions in any given week and I’m going to give first priority to those readers who have used my referral links to subscribe at 4for4.com.

When I was writing for The Scores Report, one of my most popular posts was the weekly Q&A where I would take the time to read and answer just about every question that my readers had. The process ate up a lot of time, and now that I’m working for 4for4 on an hourly basis, I just can’t devote that much time to Q&A.

However, I will try to answer questions from those 4for4 subscribers that were referred there by me, because I do get a percentage of each of those subscriptions. I can’t guarantee that I will get to every question every week, but whatever free time I do have will be spent on subscribers, not on random questions from random people. It is my way of saying thank you to those readers who are willing to support my work.

At this point, I am planning to keep FantasyShrink relatively ad-free and there is quite a bit of free content (including my rankings) that will continue to be hosted here. I hope that is enough for those of you who are not willing to subscribe.

If you’ve already used my referral links to subscribe at 4for4, please shoot me an email (by hitting the mail button on the right sidebar) and give me your name and location so I can check my subscriber list. If you plan to ask questions on Twitter, please include your handle so that I can recognize you. Like I said, I may not get to every question every week, but I will give subscribers first priority.

For those readers who haven’t yet subscribed at 4for4.com, please consider doing so. It’s only $29.95 $22.95 for the season and there are a lot of great things going on over there. In the past few weeks, Josh Moore (who finished #4 in the FantasyPros accuracy challenge) and I have revamped the customized Top 200 value rankings and auction cheatsheets, built the ADP Draft Planner, and I have written several articles including QBBC, DTBC, value RBs, value WRs, sleeper WRs and more. During the season, I’ll be publishing my waiver picks, Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW), injury recaps and a RBBC Report on a weekly basis. If you’d like to join, use any of the links in this post or hit the 4for4 ad on the right sidebar.

If you’re a relative newbie and not familiar with my work, be sure to check out the Member Reviews tab on my profile at FantasyPros.

Again, I’d rather not have to adopt this policy, but it’s a simple matter of weekly bandwidth, and there just isn’t enough time to field all the questions that come my way.

As always, thanks for your support. It is appreciated.

The Big Board: DTs

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Updated 9/1/11

The Big Board: Ks

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Updated 9/1/11

The Big Board: TEs (PPR)

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 6 pt per TD, 1 pt per 10 yards rush/rec, 1 pt per rec
Updated 9/5/11

The Big Board: WRs (PPR)

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 6 pt per TD, 1 pt per 10 yards rush/rec, 1 pt per rec
Updated 9/5/11

The Big Board: RBs (PPR)

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 6 pt per TD, 1 pt per 10 yards rush/rec, 1 pt per rec
Updated 9/5/11

The Big Board: QBs

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 4 pt per pass TD, 1 pt per 20 yards passing
Updated 9/5/11

The Big Board: RBs

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 6 pt per TD, 1 pt per 10 yards rush/rec
Updated 9/5/11

The Big Board: WRs

QB | RB | RB (PPR) | WRWR (PPR) | TE | TE (PPR) | K | DT

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Assumes 6 pt per TD, 1 pt per 10 yards rush/rec
Updated 9/5/11



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