Early 2011 Strength of Schedule: WRs (PPR)

QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DT | RB (PPR) | WR (PPR) | TE (PPR)

Below is a full season point-per-reception (PPR) SOS table for the wide receiver position. Here is what each column means:

2011: The total SOS (excluding W17 since a vast majority of leagues do not play in W17) for 2011.

%CH: The percent change from 2010. A positive number means that the team has an easier schedule, while a negative number means that the schedule projects to be tougher.

P3: The team’s average SOS for a W14-16 playoff.

P2: The team’s average SOS for a W15-16 playoff.

If a particular matchup is listed in green, it means that it is at least 3% better than the average for that week. If it’s listed in red, it’s 3% worse than the mean.

I use SOS as a tiebraker between two similarly ranked players or as a way to rank players within a tier. It’s important to note that this is just preliminary SOS. Things will change as the draft and free agency occur, and they’ll change week by week during the season as some defenses get better while others get worse. Typically, a defense won’t go from terrible to great (vice versa) in one year, so if you’re expecting a great matchup from your WR in W16, there’s a very good chance that it will be at worst mediocre at that point in the season.

Click the table to see a larger version.

Again, even though the numbers grow, there isn’t much change with regard to which wide receivers have good matchups in PPR leagues versus standard leagues. So I’d just like to highlight a few players that fared a lot better in PPR leagues in 2010 and look at their 2011 SOS for some clues about how they might perform next season.

Reggie Wayne finished nine spots higher (WR8 vs. WR17 in adjusted points per game) in PPR leagues in 2010 and given his favorable schedule and easy matchups during the fantasy playoffs, he should continue to perform well in the format. However, he is going WR6 which seems a bit early, especially if Austin Collie can put his concussion problems behind him.

Wes Welker has long been a PPR monster and finished WR11 in the format in 2010. Even though the Pats project to have a slightly tougher schedule than average, it appears to be almost 3% easier than last season. This bodes well for Welker and Deion Branch.

Davone Bess finished WR30 (in adjusted points per game) in PPR leagues versus WR38 in standard leagues. He’s currently going WR36 in PPR formats, so he appears to be undervalued heading into 2011. This goes double if Brandon Marshall can’t get his act together, as the Dolphins schedule should be improved in 2011.

Larry Fitzgerald finished 12 spots higher (WR20 vs. WR32) in PPR leagues mostly because the Cardinals had such a tough time punching the ball into the endzone. If Arizona can upgrade its QB situation to mediocre (from awful in 2010) then Fitzy should have a much better 2011, especially since the schedule projects to be 3.5% easier.

Click here to download a CSV file of this data.

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