To read about my first auction, click here. If you’re wondering about my auction strategy, start there.
Here are the details: 12-team slow auction PPR w/$400 cap; 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, TE, K & DT
My second auction started two weeks ago and is just about complete. Using our revamped auction prices over at 4for4.com, I was confident that I was heading into my draft with a good idea of what each player was worth. We used 4for4′s Value Based Rankings to calculate dollar amounts per player, based on a customized percentage of total payroll (suggested: 90%) that will be used on the starting lineup. These prices were invaluable in helping me identify value as it emerged.
I began by going big on two studs — Adrian Peterson ($95) and Chris Johnson ($85). I was fairly optimistic about CJ2K when I bid on him, but now I’m regretting it a little. I thought the Titans’ position (that they would make Johnson the highest paid RB in the league) was enough, but I didn’t realize that he was looking for money beyond his position. While I do think something will get done before the season, I was concerned enough to nab Javon Ringer ($12) and Jamie Harper ($3) late in the draft. Gotta protect that investment.
I normally don’t bid too much on defenses or kickers, but I dropped $5 on the Packers DT early in the auction. Some of the elite defenses went for $6+ in my other auction, so I figured it was worth it so that I wouldn’t have to play Defensive Team By Waiver Wire in every league.
The next auction I won was Mario Manningham for $36, which was up from the $31 I spent on him in the first auction. In other words, his stock is rising. (In two recent expert drafts, he went in the 5th round, which means you can probably get him in the 6th in your friends and family league.) I was prepared to spend $40+ because I view him as a very solid WR2 in both standard and PPR formats.
Rob Gronkowski was nominated and I once again won him for $9. I simply think he’s undervalued and would be happy with him as my TE1. As it turns out, he’ll be my backup, but more on that later.
Santana Moss ($29) should make a fine WR3, though I am a bit concerned about John Beck at QB. Moss and Rex Grossman showed a nice rapport late last season and now he has to adjust to a new QB. At WR1, I went after Mike Williams, Stevie Johnson and Santonio Holmes, but they all went for $50+, which was more than I had budgeted. I settled for Austin Collie at $37. He’s risky, but when he’s playing, he’s WR1-caliber in PPR formats. To shore up the WR position, I won Mike Sims-Walker ($9), Terrell Owens ($1) and Steve Smith 2.0 ($1). I think MSW could have a nice year with Sam Bradford throwing to him in Josh McDaniels’ offense. I have no idea why Owens only went for $1 — he’s going to land somewhere and get WR1/WR2 targets and is still a top 20 WR talent-wise. I guess we’ll see.
By not extending myself at WR1, I was able to afford Dallas Clark for a discounted price of $28. His value at 4for4 was $42, so I felt I was better served putting my dollars towards an elite TE instead of overpaying for a low-end WR1. I could potentially start Gronkowski at the flex or possibly trade one of my TEs for help at another position if need be.
At RB, I got on the Tim Hightower train for $15 before he really cemented the RB1 job in Washington. I really like him as a RB3 in the 7th round of standard drafts. The only way I see him losing the job is if his fumbling problems resurface. I also nabbed Jonathan Stewart for $16. He’s a tough guy to value because he’s clearly a backup right now, but if DeAngelo Williams gets injured again, Stewart will have top 10 value.
At QB, I did what I normally do — look for value. And I found it in Matt Ryan, whom I locked up for $13 just before reports of Falcons’ desire to air it out hit the internet. People paying attention to the franchise this offseason could predict this shift in ideology, especially after the thrashing the team took at the hands of the Packers in the playoffs and their subsequent moves on draft night to acquire Julio Jones. I am high on the entire Atlanta offense this year, including WR3 Harry Douglas, who is drawing rave reviews at camp.
From there, I targeted Peterson’s backup, Toby Gerhart ($1), and the up-and-coming Colt McCoy ($2), whose schedule meshes nicely with Ryan’s. I also nominated Stephen Gostkowski and won him for $1 while the rest of the league was focused on other positions.
Here is my complete roster:
QB: Ryan, McCoy
RB: Peterson, CJ2K, Hightower, Stewart, Ringer, Harper, Gerhart
WR: Manningham, Collie, S. Moss, MSW, T.O., Smith 2.0
TE: Clark, Gronkowski